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Overview

 

This system trades four major Indices, namely the S&P 500, S&P Midcap, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000. Trades are only initiated after the respective index had a quick and severe decline (crash).  Based on a simple, but effective trend filter, the system will either go long expecting a rebound, or sell short expecting further declines. This is a medium term trading systems, with average trade length about 20 days. The system is very robust and profitable over a wide range of parameters. The same parameters are used for all four Indices, a further indication of robustness.

 

Orders are generated based on the regular trading hours full size contracts and the trades are executed during regular market hours on the e-mini contracts.   Orders are generated each evening for the next day and can be placed at any time before the market open and no daytrading is involved.  We have several variations of exits for the system which will be included with the system purchase. The results displayed below are based on one variaton.

 

 

Performance

 

The system is independently verified by Collective2.  For real time independently verified results, please follow the link below

 

CTS Crash System at Collective2

 

Results are based on one contract traded and $75 was deducted from each trade for slippage and commission.

 

Annual backtested results since end of 1996 can be seen below.

(Results up to 3/31/2006)

 

Individual Markets Performance Statistics

(e-mini performance simulated on full contracts)

 

Market

Net Profit

Percent Profitable

Average Trade

Profit Factor

Max  Drawdown

S&P 500

$83,910

63.74%

$922

2.57

$9,685

Russell 2000

$75,520

57.89%

$805

2.44

$6,895

Nasdaq 100

$74,948

63.64%

$973

2.14

$19,910

S&P Midcap

$42,395

53.93%

$476

1.83

$11,115

 

 

Yearly totals* can be seen below

 

Year

S&P 500

Russell 2000

Nasdaq 100

S&P Midcap

Total

1996

7,745

-640

-

4,813

11,905

1997

5,110

2,105

6,000

2,300

15,522

1998

14,763

6,925

10,085

1,860

33,625

1999

10,883

5,895

6,548

1,510

24,828

2000

9,353

10,865

31,930

7,825

59,962

2001

13,853

2,655

5,225

-2,865

18,857

2002

7,670

11,830

11,725

1,075

32,312

2003

5,725

14,425

7,335

9,905

37,400

2004

7,273

12,725

-3,145

9,790

26,025

2005

-1925

7,505

-1,575

6.310

10,488

2006

2,485

1455

1,900

3050

8,890

 

 

 

 

 

 

Summary

82,935

75,745

75,588

45,573

279,841

 *Include open trades

 

Average Yearly return = $27,095

 

The Equity Curve for the combined markets can be seen below

 

 

 

The TradeStation Equity Curves for the Individual markets are below

 

S&P 500

 

Russell 2000

 

Nasdaq 100

 

S&P Midcap

 

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