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Overview
This system
trades four major Indices, namely the S&P 500, S&P Midcap, Nasdaq 100
and Russell 2000. Trades are only initiated after the respective index had a
quick and severe decline (crash). Based on a simple, but effective trend
filter, the system will either go long expecting a rebound, or sell short
expecting further declines. This is a medium term trading systems, with average
trade length about 20 days. The system is very robust and profitable over a wide
range of parameters. The same parameters are used for all four Indices,
a further indication of robustness.
Orders are generated based on
the regular trading hours full size contracts and the trades are executed during
regular market hours on the e-mini contracts. Orders are generated each
evening for the next day and can be placed at any time before the market open
and no daytrading is involved. We have several variations of exits for the
system which will be included with the system purchase. The results
displayed below are based on one variaton.
Performance
The
system is independently verified by Collective2. For real time independently
verified results, please follow the link below
CTS
Crash System at Collective2
Results are
based on one contract traded and $75 was deducted from each trade for slippage
and commission.
Annual backtested results since end of 1996 can be seen
below.
(Results up to 3/31/2006)
Individual Markets Performance Statistics
(e-mini performance simulated on
full contracts)
|
Market
|
Net Profit
|
Percent Profitable
|
Average Trade
|
Profit Factor
|
Max Drawdown
|
|
S&P 500
|
$83,910
|
63.74%
|
$922
|
2.57
|
$9,685
|
|
Russell 2000
|
$75,520
|
57.89%
|
$805
|
2.44
|
$6,895
|
|
Nasdaq 100
|
$74,948
|
63.64%
|
$973
|
2.14
|
$19,910
|
| S&P
Midcap |
$42,395
|
53.93%
|
$476
|
1.83
|
$11,115
|
Yearly totals* can be seen below
|
Year
|
S&P 500
|
Russell 2000
|
Nasdaq 100
|
S&P Midcap
|
Total
|
|
1996
|
7,745
|
-640
|
-
|
4,813
|
11,905
|
|
1997
|
5,110
|
2,105
|
6,000
|
2,300
|
15,522
|
|
1998
|
14,763
|
6,925
|
10,085
|
1,860
|
33,625
|
|
1999
|
10,883
|
5,895
|
6,548
|
1,510
|
24,828
|
|
2000
|
9,353
|
10,865
|
31,930
|
7,825
|
59,962
|
|
2001
|
13,853
|
2,655
|
5,225
|
-2,865
|
18,857
|
|
2002
|
7,670
|
11,830
|
11,725
|
1,075
|
32,312
|
|
2003
|
5,725
|
14,425
|
7,335
|
9,905
|
37,400
|
|
2004
|
7,273
|
12,725
|
-3,145
|
9,790
|
26,025
|
|
2005
|
-1925
|
7,505
|
-1,575
|
6.310
|
10,488
|
|
2006
|
2,485
|
1455
|
1,900
|
3050
|
8,890
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Summary
|
82,935
|
75,745
|
75,588
|
45,573
|
279,841
|
*Include open trades
Average Yearly return = $27,095
The Equity Curve for the combined markets can be seen below

The TradeStation Equity Curves for the Individual markets are
below
S&P 500

Russell 2000

Nasdaq 100

S&P Midcap

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