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Overview

 

This system trades 2 major Indices, namely the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. This is a breadth based system making use of the NYSE Advancing and Declining Issues, combined with a simple, but effective pattern recognition. This is a long only system and due to the effective filters, the system performed very well during the severe bear market of 2000 to 2002. This is a medium term trading systems, with average trade length about 10 days. The system is very robust and profitable over a wide range of parameters and the same parameters are used for both indices, a further confirmation of robustness.

 

Orders are generated based on the regular trading hours full size contracts and the trades are executed during regular market hours on the e-mini contracts.   Orders are generated each evening for the next day and can be placed at any time before the market open and no daytrading is involved.  

 

 

Performance

 

The system is independently verified by Collective2.  For real time independently verified results, please follow the link below

 

CTS BrB System at Collective2

 

Results are based on one contract traded and $75 was deducted from each trade for slippage and commission.

 

Annual backtested results since end of 1996 can be seen below.

(Results up to 3/31/2006)

 

Individual Markets Performance Statistics

(e-mini performance simulated on full contracts)

 

Market

Net Profit

Percent Profitable

Average Trade

Profit Factor

Max  Drawdown

S&P 500

$70,225

77.89%

$739

2.9

$6,450

Nasdaq 100

$104,965

82.72%

$1,296

7.8

$3,615

 

 

Yearly totals* can be seen below

 

Year

Trades

Winning Trades

Percent Profitable

Net Profit

1996

1

1

100%

1,037

1997

9

6

66.67%

6,798

1998

19

15

78.95%

15,695

1999

16

12

75.00%

13,633

2000

23

22

95.65%

79,065

2001

13

10

76.92%

18,243

2002

33

30

90.91%

18,355

2003

22

21

95.45%

17,595

2004

15

11

73.33%

3,935

2005

21

10

47.62%

-2,535

2006

4

3

75.00%

3,370

 

 

 

 

Summary

176

141

80.11%

175,190

 

 *Include open trades

 

Average Yearly return = $15,926

 

Monthly Results

 

Year

Jan

Feb

March

April

May

June

July

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

1996

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1038

1997

973

-343

-780

588

-

-

2118

-305

-

505

2395

1648

1998

4600

1505

-

865

-584

3529

-1811

-8234

8700

7145

-

-

1999

-

33958

3174

1801

-1189

-177

-3952

2067

-1243

7218

-1128

3665

2000

15325

15340

7455

-

2063

9710

3010

-375

-

14045

7808

4685

2001

-

-

1630

16800

-

920

-

-

-1785

-1025

1578

125

2002

1875

588

578

-1485

3760

1938

3328

2020

-913

6175

-

493

2003

-835

2625

308

-

3975

-155

2115

2453

-1198

5928

2085

295

2004

403

965

-863

480

-1015

-

965

263

140

1073

-

1525

2005

-1713

193

-3148

-1143

-90

-840

3385

568

873

-1035

775

-360

2006

2615

-885

1640

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Monthly return = $1,564

 

The Equity Curve for the combined markets can be seen below

 

 

 

 

The TradeStation Equity Curves for the Individual markets are below

 

S&P500

 

 

Nasdaq 100

 

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